1st period totals

Saturday, April 25, 2026 · 3 games

1.76League 1P goals/game, 2025–26

82%1P over 0.5

54%1P over 1.5

25%1P over 2.5

CAR@OTT

1st period: CAR 0, OTT 0

1.90Expected 1P goals

85% Over 0.5 · fair -570

57% Over 1.5 · fair -131

30% Over 2.5 · fair +237

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
CARThis season	82	1.18	0.78	1.96	90%	57%	29%	10.6	7.5
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 1-0 0-0 1-0 2-0
Last 10	10	1.40	0.70	2.10	90%	60%	30%	10.2	8.0
Away (last 20)	20	1.35	0.50	1.85	90%	60%	30%	9.9	8.4
OTTThis season	82	0.95	0.89	1.84	82%	60%	29%	9.3	7.6
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 0-1 0-0 1-0 0-2
Last 10	10	0.60	0.80	1.40	80%	40%	10%	9.1	9.0
Home (last 20)	20	0.75	0.75	1.50	75%	50%	20%	9.8	7.7

PIT@PHI

1st period: PIT 1, PHI 0

1.79Expected 1P goals

83% Over 0.5 · fair -501

53% Over 1.5 · fair -115

27% Over 2.5 · fair +274

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
PITThis season	82	1.13	0.83	1.96	90%	59%	33%	9.1	8.6
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 0-0 0-0 3-1 0-0
Last 10	10	1.20	0.50	1.70	60%	40%	40%	7.7	8.3
Away (last 20)	20	1.20	0.80	2.00	85%	55%	40%	9.5	9.4
PHIThis season	82	0.79	0.83	1.62	84%	52%	18%	7.7	7.7
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 0-0 0-0 2-0 0-2
Last 10	10	1.10	0.60	1.70	80%	60%	20%	8.8	6.4
Home (last 20)	20	0.50	0.90	1.40	80%	40%	15%	6.9	7.7

DAL@MIN

1st period: DAL 1, MIN 1

1.67Expected 1P goals

81% Over 0.5 · fair -432

50% Over 1.5 · fair +101

24% Over 2.5 · fair +325

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
DALThis season	82	0.88	0.74	1.62	78%	51%	21%	7.8	7.6
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-1 1-1 0-1 1-1 0-3
Last 10	10	0.70	0.90	1.60	70%	60%	30%	6.6	7.9
Away (last 20)	20	0.75	0.70	1.45	80%	40%	20%	7.2	8.0
MINThis season	82	0.91	0.80	1.72	80%	51%	27%	8.9	9.5
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-2 1-1 1-0 1-1 2-1
Last 10	10	1.10	1.00	2.10	100%	70%	40%	9.0	9.2
Home (last 20)	20	0.70	1.15	1.85	90%	60%	35%	7.8	10.0

Games are sorted by expected 1st-period goals, highest first. Compare the fair prices with your sportsbook's 1st period total.

How to read this page

1P GF / GA / total: Average 1st-period goals scored, allowed, and combined, per game. Overtime and shootouts don't count.
O0.5 / O1.5 / O2.5: Share of the team's games where the 1st period had more than 0, 1, or 2 goals combined.
Expected 1P goals: Each team's 1st-period scoring averaged with the opponent's 1st-period goals allowed, added together. Early in the season, last season's numbers are blended in until a team has played 10 games.
Over % and fair price: The chance the 1st period goes over each line if goals follow a Poisson distribution with the expected total, shown with the matching no-margin American odds. A green outline on a past game means that line went over.

Past results don't guarantee future ones. This is a simple statistical model, not a prediction.