1st period totals

Wednesday, March 11, 2026 · 2 games

1.75League 1P goals/game, 2025–26

83%1P over 0.5

54%1P over 1.5

24%1P over 2.5

MTL@OTT

1st period: MTL 1, OTT 2

1.89Expected 1P goals

85% Over 0.5 · fair -561

56% Over 1.5 · fair -129

29% Over 2.5 · fair +241

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
MTLThis season	63	1.03	0.83	1.86	87%	60%	25%	8.4	8.4
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-0 0-1 2-2 1-1 2-1
Last 10	10	1.40	0.90	2.30	100%	70%	40%	8.4	9.1
Away (last 20)	20	1.05	1.00	2.05	85%	55%	35%	7.4	9.6
OTTThis season	63	1.00	0.92	1.92	84%	63%	32%	9.3	7.3
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 2-1 0-1 2-2 1-1
Last 10	10	0.80	0.80	1.60	80%	50%	20%	10.7	6.2
Home (last 20)	20	0.75	1.00	1.75	90%	60%	20%	9.9	7.8

WSH@PHI

1st period: WSH 1, PHI 0

1.64Expected 1P goals

81% Over 0.5 · fair -416

49% Over 1.5 · fair +105

23% Over 2.5 · fair +340

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
WSHThis season	65	0.83	0.80	1.63	82%	46%	22%	9.2	9.0
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 3-0 0-0 1-2 1-2 0-0
Last 10	10	0.70	0.80	1.50	70%	50%	30%	9.6	8.8
Away (last 20)	20	1.10	0.75	1.85	90%	55%	25%	9.3	9.4
PHIThis season	63	0.75	0.90	1.65	83%	54%	21%	7.4	8.0
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-3 1-1 0-0 1-1 0-0
Last 10	10	0.30	0.80	1.10	60%	40%	10%	6.4	8.2
Home (last 20)	20	0.85	1.00	1.85	75%	55%	35%	7.9	7.0

Games are sorted by expected 1st-period goals, highest first. Compare the fair prices with your sportsbook's 1st period total.

How to read this page

1P GF / GA / total: Average 1st-period goals scored, allowed, and combined, per game. Overtime and shootouts don't count.
O0.5 / O1.5 / O2.5: Share of the team's games where the 1st period had more than 0, 1, or 2 goals combined.
Expected 1P goals: Each team's 1st-period scoring averaged with the opponent's 1st-period goals allowed, added together. Early in the season, last season's numbers are blended in until a team has played 10 games.
Over % and fair price: The chance the 1st period goes over each line if goals follow a Poisson distribution with the expected total, shown with the matching no-margin American odds. A green outline on a past game means that line went over.

Past results don't guarantee future ones. This is a simple statistical model, not a prediction.