1st period totals

Thursday, January 1, 2026 · 8 games

1.73League 1P goals/game, 2025–26

83%1P over 0.5

53%1P over 1.5

23%1P over 2.5

MTL@CAR

1st period: MTL 2, CAR 3

1.86Expected 1P goals

84% Over 0.5 · fair -542

55% Over 1.5 · fair -124

29% Over 2.5 · fair +251

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
MTLThis season	39	0.95	0.79	1.74	85%	59%	23%	8.3	8.5
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 0-0 1-2 1-2 2-0
Last 10	10	1.00	0.80	1.80	70%	60%	30%	8.3	9.2
Away (last 19)	19	0.95	0.74	1.68	79%	53%	21%	8.3	8.9
CARThis season	39	1.05	0.92	1.97	87%	56%	33%	10.8	7.5
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-3 1-1 0-1 1-0 3-0
Last 10	10	0.90	0.80	1.70	90%	50%	30%	11.5	6.4
Home (last 20)	20	1.10	1.00	2.10	95%	55%	40%	10.7	5.8

WPG@TOR

1st period: WPG 2, TOR 0

1.79Expected 1P goals

83% Over 0.5 · fair -500

53% Over 1.5 · fair -115

27% Over 2.5 · fair +274

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
WPGThis season	38	0.82	0.92	1.74	79%	61%	21%	8.5	9.2
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-2 0-0 1-1 0-2 0-2
Last 10	10	0.50	1.10	1.60	70%	60%	10%	9.3	7.6
Away (last 20)	20	0.70	1.15	1.85	85%	65%	20%	7.3	10.2
TORThis season	39	0.97	0.87	1.85	90%	62%	21%	8.2	9.5
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 0-0 2-1 2-1 0-1
Last 10	10	0.80	0.80	1.60	90%	50%	20%	7.8	9.3
Home (last 20)	20	1.00	0.80	1.80	90%	55%	20%	8.2	9.7

WSH@OTT

1st period: WSH 2, OTT 0

1.76Expected 1P goals

83% Over 0.5 · fair -481

52% Over 1.5 · fair -110

26% Over 2.5 · fair +287

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
WSHThis season	40	0.83	0.83	1.65	83%	43%	20%	9.4	8.7
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 2-2 1-0 0-1 1-0
Last 10	10	0.70	0.80	1.50	90%	40%	10%	8.0	9.6
Away (last 19)	19	1.00	0.79	1.79	84%	53%	21%	9.9	9.7
OTTThis season	38	1.03	0.84	1.87	82%	58%	32%	8.7	7.5
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 1-2 1-1 3-1 1-0
Last 10	10	1.30	0.80	2.10	80%	50%	40%	8.9	8.4
Home (last 18)	18	0.94	0.78	1.72	89%	56%	22%	9.6	8.2

UTA@NYI

1st period: UTA 0, NYI 0

1.61Expected 1P goals

80% Over 0.5 · fair -402

48% Over 1.5 · fair +109

22% Over 2.5 · fair +355

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
UTAThis season	40	0.88	0.73	1.60	80%	57%	13%	9.3	8.0
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 0-0 2-0 1-0 0-0
Last 10	10	0.60	0.70	1.30	70%	60%	0%	9.4	8.8
Away (last 20)	20	1.00	0.70	1.70	75%	55%	20%	8.8	7.5
NYIThis season	40	0.85	0.78	1.63	85%	55%	15%	8.9	9.1
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-0 1-1 1-0 0-1 0-1
Last 10	10	1.10	0.80	1.90	100%	60%	30%	9.3	10.5
Home (last 20)	20	0.85	0.90	1.75	85%	60%	20%	10.0	8.6

DET@PIT

1st period: DET 1, PIT 2

1.59Expected 1P goals

80% Over 0.5 · fair -392

47% Over 1.5 · fair +111

22% Over 2.5 · fair +365

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
DETThis season	41	0.59	0.71	1.29	73%	41%	10%	8.0	8.8
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 0-1
Last 10	10	0.70	0.30	1.00	80%	20%	0%	8.7	8.3
Away (last 19)	19	0.68	0.58	1.26	68%	37%	16%	7.1	9.1
PITThis season	38	1.05	0.84	1.89	92%	61%	29%	9.5	8.2
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 3-0 4-0 1-2 2-1 0-2
Last 10	10	1.40	1.00	2.40	100%	80%	50%	9.7	8.2
Home (last 19)	19	1.26	0.89	2.16	95%	74%	42%	9.6	8.0

TBL@LAK

1st period: TBL 1, LAK 2

1.59Expected 1P goals

80% Over 0.5 · fair -392

47% Over 1.5 · fair +112

21% Over 2.5 · fair +366

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
TBLThis season	39	1.18	0.79	1.97	90%	54%	28%	9.5	8.8
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 0-0 2-1 2-0 0-3
Last 10	10	1.30	0.90	2.20	90%	70%	40%	9.5	8.4
Away (last 19)	19	1.32	0.68	2.00	95%	58%	26%	9.5	8.9
LAKThis season	38	0.61	0.61	1.21	74%	32%	11%	9.2	9.0
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 4-0 0-0 0-2 0-1
Last 10	10	0.80	0.40	1.20	70%	30%	10%	10.6	8.5
Home (last 17)	17	0.65	0.47	1.12	59%	29%	12%	9.6	9.2

NSH@SEA

1st period: NSH 0, SEA 3

1.55Expected 1P goals

79% Over 0.5 · fair -369

46% Over 1.5 · fair +119

20% Over 2.5 · fair +394

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
NSHThis season	39	0.74	1.08	1.82	85%	56%	26%	8.8	9.9
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 3-2 1-1 1-2 2-1 0-0
Last 10	10	1.10	1.10	2.20	90%	70%	40%	9.5	9.8
Away (last 18)	18	0.61	1.33	1.94	83%	61%	39%	8.1	9.3
SEAThis season	37	0.49	0.78	1.27	62%	41%	19%	8.3	9.7
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Last 10	10	0.20	0.30	0.50	30%	10%	10%	9.2	11.1
Home (last 19)	19	0.58	0.79	1.37	74%	47%	16%	8.3	9.3

DAL@CHI

1st period: DAL 1, CHI 1

1.48Expected 1P goals

77% Over 0.5 · fair -340

44% Over 1.5 · fair +130

19% Over 2.5 · fair +437

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
DALThis season	40	0.88	0.63	1.50	78%	48%	15%	7.9	8.5
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 1-1 0-1 1-0 4-1
Last 10	10	1.10	0.40	1.50	80%	40%	10%	6.9	9.5
Away (last 20)	20	1.05	0.65	1.70	80%	50%	20%	7.2	9.2
CHIThis season	39	0.67	0.79	1.46	69%	46%	21%	8.6	9.8
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-2 0-4 1-1 0-1 0-1
Last 10	10	0.50	1.40	1.90	90%	70%	20%	7.5	9.1
Home (last 19)	19	0.58	0.68	1.26	63%	37%	16%	9.1	8.5

Games are sorted by expected 1st-period goals, highest first. Compare the fair prices with your sportsbook's 1st period total.

How to read this page

1P GF / GA / total: Average 1st-period goals scored, allowed, and combined, per game. Overtime and shootouts don't count.
O0.5 / O1.5 / O2.5: Share of the team's games where the 1st period had more than 0, 1, or 2 goals combined.
Expected 1P goals: Each team's 1st-period scoring averaged with the opponent's 1st-period goals allowed, added together. Early in the season, last season's numbers are blended in until a team has played 10 games.
Over % and fair price: The chance the 1st period goes over each line if goals follow a Poisson distribution with the expected total, shown with the matching no-margin American odds. A green outline on a past game means that line went over.

Past results don't guarantee future ones. This is a simple statistical model, not a prediction.