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1st period totals

Monday, December 8, 2025 · 5 games

1.72League 1P goals/game, 2025–26
82%1P over 0.5
53%1P over 1.5
22%1P over 2.5
TBL@TOR
1st period: TBL 0, TOR 1
1.95Expected 1P goals
86% Over 0.5 · fair -600
58% Over 1.5 · fair -138
31% Over 2.5 · fair +224
TeamGP1P GF1P GA1P total Over 0.5Over 1.5Over 2.51P SF1P SA
TBLThis season 28 1.180.751.93 89%50%25% 9.38.9
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 0-1 0-0 1-0 1-1
Last 10 10 1.300.401.70 80%40%20% 9.37.7
Away (last 13) 13 1.150.621.77 92%54%15% 8.59.0
TORThis season 28 1.040.931.96 89%68%21% 8.29.4
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 2-1 2-0 2-1 1-0
Last 10 10 0.900.601.50 70%60%20% 9.09.2
Home (last 16) 16 0.940.811.75 88%56%13% 8.28.8
BUF@CGY
1st period: BUF 0, CGY 2
1.77Expected 1P goals
83% Over 0.5 · fair -485
53% Over 1.5 · fair -111
26% Over 2.5 · fair +284
TeamGP1P GF1P GA1P total Over 0.5Over 1.5Over 2.51P SF1P SA
BUFThis season 28 0.891.112.00 93%57%25% 8.68.9
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 1-3 3-0 1-2 0-1
Last 10 10 1.101.202.30 100%70%40% 9.17.9
Away (last 12) 12 0.751.422.17 100%67%25% 7.79.0
CGYThis season 30 0.700.831.53 77%40%27% 9.28.9
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 0-0 0-1 0-0 2-2
Last 10 10 0.800.901.70 80%40%30% 7.610.4
Home (last 12) 12 0.750.331.08 67%25%17% 10.08.3
DET@VAN
1st period: DET 1, VAN 0
1.59Expected 1P goals
80% Over 0.5 · fair -389
47% Over 1.5 · fair +112
21% Over 2.5 · fair +369
TeamGP1P GF1P GA1P total Over 0.5Over 1.5Over 2.51P SF1P SA
DETThis season 29 0.480.901.38 69%48%14% 7.89.0
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 0-1 2-0 0-0 1-1
Last 10 10 0.501.101.60 90%50%10% 7.49.3
Away (last 13) 13 0.460.771.23 54%38%23% 6.39.1
VANThis season 29 0.791.001.79 86%52%24% 8.49.7
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 0-1 1-1 0-1 1-1
Last 10 10 0.901.202.10 100%60%30% 7.210.3
Home (last 13) 13 0.691.001.69 85%31%31% 10.08.8
MIN@SEA
1st period: MIN 0, SEA 0
1.58Expected 1P goals
79% Over 0.5 · fair -387
47% Over 1.5 · fair +113
21% Over 2.5 · fair +371
TeamGP1P GF1P GA1P total Over 0.5Over 1.5Over 2.51P SF1P SA
MINThis season 29 0.900.661.55 76%45%21% 9.39.2
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 0-0 1-0 2-1 0-1
Last 10 10 1.000.301.30 70%40%20% 9.79.7
Away (last 14) 14 0.860.571.43 71%43%14% 8.08.9
SEAThis season 26 0.621.001.62 77%54%23% 7.99.1
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 2-3 0-1 1-1 0-0
Last 10 10 0.700.801.50 70%50%10% 8.28.5
Home (last 13) 13 0.690.921.62 85%62%15% 8.49.1
LAK@UTA
1st period: LAK 2, UTA 0
1.46Expected 1P goals
77% Over 0.5 · fair -329
43% Over 1.5 · fair +134
18% Over 2.5 · fair +454
TeamGP1P GF1P GA1P total Over 0.5Over 1.5Over 2.51P SF1P SA
LAKThis season 28 0.540.681.21 75%32%11% 8.89.1
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 0-0 0-1 1-0 1-0
Last 10 10 0.400.400.80 60%10%10% 7.89.6
Away (last 15) 15 0.600.871.47 93%40%13% 8.69.3
UTAThis season 30 0.970.731.70 83%57%17% 9.27.7
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 1-0 2-0 2-3 0-0
Last 10 10 1.000.801.80 80%60%20% 8.89.2
Home (last 11) 11 0.820.821.64 91%64%9% 10.18.4

Games are sorted by expected 1st-period goals, highest first. Compare the fair prices with your sportsbook's 1st period total.

How to read this page

1P GF / GA / total
Average 1st-period goals scored, allowed, and combined, per game. Overtime and shootouts don't count.
O0.5 / O1.5 / O2.5
Share of the team's games where the 1st period had more than 0, 1, or 2 goals combined.
Expected 1P goals
Each team's 1st-period scoring averaged with the opponent's 1st-period goals allowed, added together. Early in the season, last season's numbers are blended in until a team has played 10 games.
Over % and fair price
The chance the 1st period goes over each line if goals follow a Poisson distribution with the expected total, shown with the matching no-margin American odds. A green outline on a past game means that line went over.

Past results don't guarantee future ones. This is a simple statistical model, not a prediction.